Russian Federation Classified Demographics Statistics After Birth Rate Collapses To 200-year Low
16- 18.05.2025, 0:30
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The Kremlin is visibly nervous.
Russia's Rosstat has stopped publishing detailed demographic data amid a continuing decline in the birth rate, which, contrary to officials' calls, has set a low in the country's modern history in 2025, writes The Moscow Times.
From the monthly report on "natural population movement" that Rosstat published on Friday, the figures for the last reporting month on the number of births and deaths, monthly data on the number of marriages and divorces have been removed, and all statistics by region have completely disappeared (previously, figures were published separately for each subject), demographer Alexei Raksha pointed out.
Of the five tables that were published by Rosstat, the new report has only one. It presents data on the number of births, deaths, marriages and divorces only by cumulative total from the beginning of the year.
"In fact, in Russia, starting from March 2025, there is almost no public demographic statistics," Raksha complains. He recalls that in March 2022, shortly after the war began, Rosstat had already closed statistics on mortality by age and region, and in 2024 - all data on causes of death, which allowed indirectly assessing the army's losses at the front.
"The inadequate response" of the authorities, Raksha writes, suggests that "the degree of demographic hysteria in the ministries has reached epic proportions."
Officials are nervous as Russia's birth rate continues to fall despite the promotion of "traditional values" and Putin's calls for Russians to have eight children each.
In January-March, according to Rosstat, the number of births fell by another 11,500, to 288,800. At the same time, every month the birth rate has broken anti-records since the turn of the XVII-XIX centuries, Raksha points out. The number of births at the end of the quarter was also record low for more than 200 years, he notes.
Last year, according to Rosstat, 1.222 million babies were born in Russia - the minimum since 1999. Compared to 2023, the birth rate decreased by 3.4%, and relative to 2014 - by more than a third. Natural population loss accelerated by 20% at the end of the year and amounted to 596.2 thousand people - that is, on average, almost 50 thousand people a month, or 1.6 thousand a day.
Even in 2018, Putin, within the framework of the national project "Demography", demanded in 6 years to stop the extinction of Russia, which began soon after the annexation of Crimea. The result was the opposite of what was desired: natural decline did not slow down, but accelerated several times, and the accumulated total for 2018-23, mortality exceeded birth rate by 3.4 million people.
Last year, Putin again set the goal of slowing down natural decline to zero - by 2030.