"The Defeat Of Russia's Nuclear Triad Was A Humiliation For The Kremlin"
1- 5.06.2025, 15:52
- 6,452
Photo: Glavred
Putin will try to create an inside picture.
Despite international calls for dialog, Putin reiterated his unwillingness to negotiate with Ukraine. The Kremlin continues to insist on its political and territorial demands.
Could an escalation of the situation follow if peace talks break down? About this site Charter97.org talked to Ukrainian expert Vladimir Tsybulko:
- The aggravation is already going on, not exponentially, but it is slowly winding up. The essence of this aggravation is seen in Putin's summer and fall psychic attack on Ukraine. We see the entry into Sumy region, terrible strikes on civilian infrastructure.
Most likely, there is a calculation to intimidate Ukrainians, but this is an untenable idea. Putin wants to show that he is still strong. After the humiliation of defeating the nuclear triad, he will try to create an internal picture that he is doing well, that he is advancing, that he is reclaiming territory.
What matters to Ukraine now is not so much the offensive as Russia's economic exhaustion. Putin will fight as long as the economy will allow him to do so.
- What forms can this escalation take in the near future?
- The most heinous is the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons. Basically, the calculation so far is on psychological terror against Ukrainians, so that part of the population would start asking Zelensky to agree to any conditions of Russia. Although it is clear that Ukrainians will not go for it.
- How likely is Lukashenko's involvement in further events?
- Lukashenko has always been a tool in the hands of the Kremlin to intimidate Ukraine. We remember this story with the deployment of nuclear weapons. If there had been no attack from the territory of Belarus, this could have been treated as a purely verbal intervention.
But the fact remains that there was an attack from the Belarusian side. And Ukraine is forced to keep a certain number of troops on the border with Belarus - exactly so that if necessary it would be possible to reach Minsk without any obstacles.
This draws forces away from other interesting parts of the front. Now the Ukrainian troops are mostly in active defense. Sometimes they go on a counter-offensive, recapture some positions that are of tactical importance - in order to better prepare to repel the next attacks of the Russians. At the same time, they are now relying on drones and robotic systems. We can already see an epic battle between Russian manpower and Ukrainian robots.
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