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Lukashenko's Visit Is A Bad Omen For Xi

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Lukashenko's Visit Is A Bad Omen For Xi

The Chinese already have recent experience.

The strangeness of Lukashenko's June trip to China is obvious: truncated coverage in the Chinese press, no documents were signed as a result of the visit, the trip itself looked hastily organized and with unobvious goals.

The propaganda, of course, presented everything in the usual style. One of the "fighters of the ideological front" broadcast: "The Lord of the Chinese Empire welcomes a dear guest. Like a great bird that brings good news. The Bird of Happiness."

If we are to engage in political ornithology, another parallel for Lukashenko's visit to Xi immediately comes to mind: "Black raven, why are you hovering over my head!"

Are you exaggerating? Perhaps. But the Chinese already have recent experience that doesn't look encouraging.

Meeting in August 2023 with Colonel General Li Shangfu, a member of the Central Military Council, State Council, and Minister of Defense of the People's Republic of China. Alexander Lukashenko suddenly declared, "You are the most media personality in the world today."

The guest from the East was probably stunned by such over-the-top flattery. Li Shanfu's name has never been at the top of the most mentioned names in the global media space. But that's not even the point, but what happened next.

Lukashenko stated that that visit was Li Shanfu's first to Belarus, and added: "I hope it will not be the last."

It turned out that it was not just the last, but in a certain sense a farewell. Within weeks after the Minsk trip, Li Shanfu was removed from all his posts. He was later expelled from the Communist Party, stripped of his general rank and put on trial for corruption.

Of course, it is not certain that the same thing will happen to Xi Jinping. The peculiarity of closed regimes is that speculation about their problems arises periodically. They are often disproved by reality, when the rulers appear in public after a prolonged absence as if nothing had happened.

But one day it happens otherwise, and change comes suddenly...

Vasil Veras, "Salidarnasts"

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